The active phase of hostilities in Ukraine is expected to end in two years, but experts warn of serious risks of prolonging the conflict. It was reported by the IMF, according to Reuters.
In their report, the Fund's analysts consider two scenarios, where the baseline forecast assumes a gradual stabilization of the situation next year. At the same time, there is a negative scenario in which the war could last until 2028 if security and economic conditions deteriorate.
Further dynamics, according to experts, will critically depend on the intensity of the fighting, the volume of international assistance and the overall macroeconomic stability of the country.
The Fund emphasizes that any forecasts are only a modeling of the situation, which may change under the influence of external factors. A Reuters source confirms that economic stability remains a top priority for international partners during this period.
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, the International Monetary Fund has agreed to cancel the prior actions for a new USD 8.1 billion loan program for Ukraine, including the requirements to introduce VAT for individual entrepreneurs, parcel duties, a tax for digital platforms and the preservation of the military fee.
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