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German intelligence warns: russia may start large-scale conflict with NATO by end of decade

The aggressor country of russia may start a "large-scale war" with Western countries by the end of the decade.

This is the conclusion reached by the Federal Intelligence Service of Germany, Bild writes.

The intelligence is convinced: russia is "ready to implement its imperialist goals with the help of military force".

According to the BND report, most of the russian military equipment and personnel are now either in Ukraine or on the border with the Baltic countries. But the russian Air Force and Navy are "fully capable of action". If the war in Ukraine ends or is frozen, ground forces will also be released.

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German intelligence is convinced that the russian military economy currently produces more than is needed for the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin is also set on a constant increase in the army.

The Bild article notes that in 2025, the aggressor country's defense spending will amount to about EUR 120 billion, which is more than 6% of GDP. Thus, russia has almost quadrupled its military budget compared to 2021.

Meanwhile, Lithuanian intelligence believes that russia will not be able to go to war with NATO in the near future, but may attack one or more countries.

As Ukrainian News Agency earlier reported, Ukraine's Western partners are focused on achieving a truly lasting peace, since freezing the war is the worst possible scenario.

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In January 2025, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte called on Alliance members to increase their defense spending beyond their common goal of 2% of GDP, which was set a decade ago and is now considered too low due to new challenges from russia.

The aggressor country of russia is carrying out provocations along the border with Estonia and may attack the country to force the North Atlantic Alliance to intervene in response.

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