The russian military command may resist the redeployment of forces from other operational directions so that the events in the Kursk Oblast do not disrupt russian offensive operations in the east of Ukraine.
This is stated in the russian Offensive Campaign Assessment by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) as of August 9, 2024, the Ukrainian News agency reports.
"The Russian military command appears to be relying on existing units deployed to the international border area and readily available forces in the rear, most of which are units staffed with conscripts and irregular forces, to address the ongoing Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast. These units would likely be the first to respond even if the Russian military command has decided to transfer additional, more experienced units from elsewhere in the theater," the message says.
According to information from various sources, the russian military command transferred forces from operational reserves, additional units staffed with conscripts, special forces, an additional detachment of Chechen special forces Akhmat operating under the auspices of the Ministry of Defense of russia, as well as the 1st Army Corps of the Donetsk People's Republic (AC of the DPR) and former servicemen of the Wagner Group in the districts of the Kursk Oblast.
A russian military blogger reported that units of the 44th Army Corps (Leningrad Military District) of the russian Northern Army Group are operating near Rylsk, but suggested that the russian military command may be transferring units it has accumulated for an offensive operation in the north of the Kharkiv Region.
ISW sources suggest that perhaps the russian military command decided that the disruption of the offensive operation in the north of the Kharkiv Region was a necessary sacrifice, while avoiding redeployment from higher priority areas of the front.
The larger redeployment of russian troops from frontline areas is likely to be slower, and more combat-ready frontline units may begin arriving in Kursk Oblast in the coming days.
Overall, the ISW concludes that, in particular, the russian military command may currently resist operational pressure to redeploy forces from other operational directions to prevent a Ukrainian invasion from disrupting russian offensive operations in the east of Ukraine.
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, a counter-terrorist operation (CTO) regime has been introduced in the Kursk, Bryansk and Belgorod Oblasts of the terrorist country of russia due to "the increase of the level of sabotage and terrorist threats from Ukraine."
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