Analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) noted that Russia's information space is reacting "with considerable concern" to reports of a slowdown in Russian operations and a possible counteroffensive by the Defense Forces. According to the institute, reports about the preparation of a possible Ukrainian counteroffensive are increasingly heard in the Russian information space.
ISW notes that the Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, said on March 24 that Russia is aware of the preparation of a Ukrainian counteroffensive, and that the general staff of the aggressor country is preparing decisions and measures to respond to it.
The analysts concluded that the so-called "great" Russian spring offensive appears to be "nearing its culmination, and the Russian information space is reacting to the slowdown in Russian operations and the possibility of Ukraine seizing the initiative with considerable concern."
"The Russian military command will need to shift a significant number of forces to the front to either prevent a culmination or to launch new offensive operations, and it is unlikely that such forces exist in sufficient numbers to do both," the review noted.
Key ISW findings for March 24:
Well-known persons in the Russian information space are increasingly creating occasions about preparation for a possible Ukrainian counteroffensive.
- According to reports, the occupying head of Crimea, Serhii Aksionov, created a private military company in the occupied Crimea related to Wagner.
- Some Russian bloggers criticized the military command of the Russian Federation for the fact that it continues to attack Vuhledar with ineffective frontal attacks in the style of a "human wave".
- Russian President Vladimir Putin held a meeting with the Security Council to show himself as a true and effective wartime leader.
- Russian troops conducted limited attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.
- They also achieved success in Bakhmut and its surroundings and carried out ground attacks in the Avdiyivka-Donetsk area.
- The General Staff of Ukraine corrected its statement of March 23 that Russian troops withdrew from Nova Kakhovka in the occupied Kherson Region.
- The Russian occupation authorities announced the creation of a pro-Russian militarist youth movement aimed at "brainwashing" children.
- The Ministry of Defense of Great Britain reported on March 24 that at least 1,000 Russian servicemen who were undergoing training at the 230th Obuzko-Lesnovsky military training ground in Brest, Belarus, were redeployed to Russia.
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