The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has downgraded Ukraine's GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 3.3% to 2.5%.
This is stated in the bank's materials, the Ukrainian News agency reports.
At the same time, the EBRD confirmed the forecast for Ukraine's GDP growth at 5% for 2026, provided the war ends.
At the same time, the bank points to high uncertainty for the Ukrainian economy due to security risks, the state of the energy system, and dependence on external support.
According to EBRD estimates, real GDP grew by 0.9% annually in the first quarter of 2025, and in the second quarter the pace slowed to 0.8%.
The unemployment rate dropped to a wartime minimum of 12%.
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, Ukraine's real gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter of 2025 grew by 0.8% compared to the same quarter a year earlier.
Compared to the previous quarter, taking into account the seasonal factor, real GDP increased by 0.2%.
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