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Russia may face shortage of air defense, which will limit activity of aviation at front - ISW

During October, the Ukrainian Armed Forces hit a number of russian air defense systems, which may lead to a shortage of such systems in the aggressor state of russia, since the russian federation is unable to produce or repair a sufficient number of them due to sanctions. This will lead to limitation on the use of aviation by the russians.

This was reported by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Thus, analysts drew attention to the fact that Ukrainian forces struck 7 russian radars and air defense systems on the night of October 21.

Also, a russian Telegram user, who claims to be an employee of an unidentified unit of the russian special services, said on November 2 that Ukrainian forces launched a MANPADS strike against a russian S-300/400 air defense system near occupied Mospyne (southeast of Donetsk), and that their sources still investigating system damage.

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He claimed that Ukrainian forces fired six MANPADS missiles at the air defense system, and that russian forces shot down three missiles. A Telegram user claimed that on October 23, Ukrainian forces carried out a drone strike on the russian Podlyot radar station near the occupied Cape Tarkhankut (Crimea) and that russian forces have not yet evacuated the damaged station for repairs.

In addition, the Ukrainian unit published a video on October 31 that appears to show a successful Ukrainian strike on a russian Buk air defense system in an unspecified area of ​​the front, and the video shows secondary detonations consistent with a successful strike on such a system.

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that on the night of October 25, Ukrainian troops struck the russian Buk-M3 anti-aircraft missile complex and destroyed the radar system of another Buk-M2 anti-aircraft missile complex in the occupied Luhansk Region. Official Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces also struck the Buk-M2 system in southern Ukraine on October 23 and the Buk-M3 air defense system on the night of October 21 in an unspecified area of ​​the front.

It is recalled that ISW has already noted signs that, due to Western sanctions, russia is having difficulty supplying the microelectronic components needed to produce sophisticated weapons and air defense systems, and russia may not be able to produce or repair sufficient numbers of air defense systems to support the current coverage density of russian air defense systems over occupied Ukraine, if Ukraine destroys a significant number of Russian complexes.

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"Further degradation of the russian air defense system, especially over occupied Ukraine, may affect how close to the front line russian pilots are willing to operate, and may limit russia's ability to effectively use glide bombs against both frontline areas and rear Ukrainian cities," analysts summarized.

As Ukrainian News Agency earlier reported, the russians stormed, with the support of aviation, in the Kharkiv, Toretsk, and Orikhiv Axes, the enemy actively used aviation in the Lyman Axis.

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