AI predicts when war in Ukraine could end: three possible scenarios

OpenAI's ChatGPT artificial intelligence modeled the possible timing of the end of russia's full-scale war against Ukraine. The model took into account military, political and geopolitical factors, as well as public statements by leaders and international trends.

In particular, at the request of the Ukrainian News Agency, the AI ​​formed the three most likely scenarios based on open data and the dynamics of recent months:

Optimistic scenario - the second half of 2025

"In the event of a significant increase in military assistance from the West, in particular the supply of long-range missiles, modern aircraft and air defense systems, Ukraine may regain the initiative and return part of the occupied territories. This may force russia to agree to negotiations by the end of 2025," the artificial intelligence forecast says.

Realistic scenario - 2026–2027

The most likely scenario, according to ChatGPT, is a long-term phase of hostilities with variable intensity. "According to Western analysts, without radical internal shifts in the russian federation or a significant technological breakthrough in Ukraine, the active phase of the conflict will last at least another one and a half to two years. A gradual transition to the negotiation process is possible in 2026, but the final end of the war is not earlier than 2027," the AI ​​predicts.

Pessimistic scenario - a "frozen conflict" for years

If the current balance of power is maintained and the resources of both sides are exhausted, a gradual "freezing" of hostilities is possible, similar to the conflict in the Donbas in 2014–2021. "In this case, a prolonged period of instability and uncertainty could persist until the end of the decade, without the signing of a full-fledged peace," ChatGPT noted.