Russia producing only 50 units of new tanks per year – OSINT research
In russia, the rate of production of completely new tanks is only 50 units per year, which is much less than what is claimed in the propaganda media.
Israeli military analyst Yigal Levin writes about this, referring to OSINT researcher Richard Vereker.
He commented on the latest analysis by the RUSI institute, which claimed that allegedly 85% of russian armored vehicles are reactivated stocks from the Soviet era, and 15% are new combat vehicles.
The OSINT researcher decided to examine the situation in more detail, because in the analysis there was no division between tanks, infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers. He matched the data with visually documented losses.
According to his assessment, the share of losses of new russian tanks (T-90M and T-90S) is only 7.27% for the entire time of the full-scale war.
Among the infantry fighting vehicles / armored personnel carriers produced are BMP-3, BMD-4 and BTR-82 (some of which are new and some are modernized BTR-80). Vereker proposes to assume that approximately half was produced, and half was restored. Among the infantry fighting vehicles / armored personnel carriers, the share of new armored vehicles for the entire duration of the full-scale war was 25.9%.
According to the researcher, the russians have upgraded all their T-90A to the T-90M level. This explains the increase in the share of use and losses of these tanks in 2023. However, these reserves have now been depleted, and the share of losses has fallen.
Judging by the rate of removal of tanks from storage and the share of T-90 losses, the analyst believes that the rate of production of completely new tanks in the russian federation is only half a hundred units per year.
At the beginning of the large-scale war, the share of losses of new infantry fighting vehicles / armored personnel carriers was 30%, then it fell to 22%, and now it has risen again to 29% and continues to grow.
At the same time, the ratio of losses of tanks to infantry fighting vehicles / armored personnel carriers, which during most of the war was one to two, has now increased to 1 to 4.35.
"Vereker believes that these statistics reflect the fact that the Russians have invested much more resources in the production of new infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, but not tanks. And now it is easier for them to compensate for the losses among combat vehicles for transporting infantry than to compensate for the losses of tanks," the military analyst added.