Kremlin's chances of winning war against Ukraine shrinking - The Economist
Russia is gradually losing its prospects of winning the war against Ukraine, and diplomatic efforts do not guarantee moscow a way out of the impasse. This is discussed in the article by The Economist.
Analysts note that the kremlin's expectations of tangible military success are increasingly unrealistic. Despite expectations that the negotiations could secure concessions from Kyiv, the diplomatic track is not actually yielding the desired result for moscow.
According to the publication's estimates, from June 2021 to May 2024, russian troops advanced only about 60 kilometers in the Donetsk Region. For comparison, in major wars of the past, the scale of the offensive was measured in thousands of kilometers.
A special attention is drawn to russia's internal problems. The shortage of trained military personnel, low morale, and a significant level of desertion reduce the effectiveness of the army. Additional difficulties are created by restrictions in communications - in particular, the blocking of certain communication services, which complicates coordination and logistics.
The economic situation also remains strained, with growing debts, declining revenues, and resources having to be reallocated, including to employ soldiers returning from the front.
"Russia relies on money, not patriotism, to recruit soldiers. Neglecting veterans and the state's refusal to compensate the families of the victims increases the cost of recruitment," experts say.
The article concludes that the combination of military failures, economic pressure and internal imbalances casts doubt on vladimir putin's ambitions to go down in history as a great leader. Even possible diplomatic steps cannot eliminate the systemic problems faced by the kremlin both at the front and at home.
Recall that earlier, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy commented on whether he could order the liquidation of russian leader vladimir putin, and also spoke about numerous attempts on his own life.