During the two years of the full-scale invasion, the aggressor country russia lost about 3,000 tanks and 5,000 other armored vehicles. Occupiers may go on the defensive next year.
This is stated in the publication of The Economist.
It is noted that the russian federation can compensate for the loss of equipment by taking it from storage facilities built in Soviet times. And although these reserves are large, they are not infinite.
The main problem of the russians is the production of tanks and infantry fighting vehicles. In particular, russia may have about 3,200 tanks in its warehouses, but up to 70% of them "have not moved an inch since the beginning of the war." Most of the T-72s has been stored in the open since the early 1990s and is likely to be in very poor condition.
In addition, Western sanctions have contributed to the difficulty of tank production in the russian federation, because now the russians cannot directly import high-voltage electrical circuits, fuel heaters and thermal imaging matrices.
The Economist concluded that russia's arms stockpile may run out by mid-2025.
"If nothing changes, by the end of this year Russian troops may be forced to change their position to a more defensive one... This may become evident by the end of the summer. Putin's interest in concluding a temporary truce is expected to grow," analysts say.
Meanwhile, Defense Express believes that these calculations do not take into account the equipment of the russian army, which can now be restored at repair plants, that is, the actual reserve of weapons can be much larger, and accordingly the expected limit of "depletion of reserves" shifts significantly to the right.
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